The first part of the name "PollyVote" refers to our mascot Polly the parrot. In addition, it is derived from the words "poly" – for the many forecasts that we use in the combination and – "political" – for the context of the forecast. The name's second...
Category: 1. About the project
The PollyVote project received no outside funding for forecasting the three U.S. presidential elections from 2004 to 2012 but was operated by the team members in their free time. For.
The best source are the research publications, which describe the PollyVote method and its historical accuracy. For any remaining questions, contact one of the team members.
The PollyVote was launched in 2004 by forecasting expert J. Scott Armstrong and the political scientists Alfred Cuzán and Randy Jones. In 2007, Andreas Graefe joined the project. For more information about the team click here.
PollyVote is currently forecasting the U.S. presidential elections and the German federal election. That said, Polly is always looking for new challenges. If you are interested in using PollyVote, contact one.
Polly the parrot is the mascot of the PollyVote project. In many respects, Polly is an ordinary parrot. She is completely apolitical and knows nothing about politics or voting behavior,.
The PollyVote project uses the high-profile application of predicting U.S. presidential election outcomes to demonstrate advances in forecasting research. When the PollyVote was first launched in 2004, the original goal was to demonstrate the benefits of combining forecasts. Since then, the PollyVote team has expanded its focus by...