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index_models

Big-issue model: Clinton is in the lead

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In Uncategorized
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On November 7, 2016
The Big-issue model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 50.8% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will win 49.2%. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to end up with 51.3% of the vote....

Big-issue model: Clinton is in the lead

By
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In Uncategorized
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On November 7, 2016
The Big-issue model enters the index models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 51.3% for Clinton, and 48.7% for Trump. In comparison, on November 4, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 51.1% of the vote. Putting the...

Issues and Leaders model shows Clinton in the lead

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In Uncategorized
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On November 2, 2016
The Issues and Leaders model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 51.4% for Clinton, and 48.6% for Trump. Putting the results in context Individual index models should be treated with caution, since they often...

Issue-index model shows Clinton in the lead

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In Uncategorized
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On October 30, 2016
The Issue-index model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 55.2% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 44.8%. Putting the results in context As a general rule, however, don't have too much...
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