DeSart & Holbrook model in California: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 65.5% of the two-party vote share in California, while Trump will win 34.5%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 62.7% of the two-party vote in California. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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