Jerome model in Utah: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Utah, while Trump will win 64.5%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, we recommend to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 58.8% of the two-party vote in Utah. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 5.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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