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538 (polls-plus) model: Trump trails by a small margin

In Uncategorized
On August 22, 2016
The 538 (polls-plus) model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 52.1% for Clinton, and 47.9% for Trump. Putting the results in context Individual models should be interpreted with caution, since they may contain large...
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