The 538 (polls-plus) model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 52.1% for Clinton, and 47.9% for Trump. Putting the results in context In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the...
201678National538
The 538 (polls-plus) model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 52.1% for Clinton, and 47.9% for Trump..