Utah: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 37.7% of the two-party vote share in Utah, while Trump will end up with 62.3%. In comparison, on October 24 Trump was still predicted to win 62.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the recommended strategy look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 58.4% of the two-party vote in Utah. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 3.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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