Crosstab model in Utah: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 38.6% for Clinton, and 61.4% for Trump in Utah. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was still predicted to garner 61.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 58.4% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.