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201657National538

New 538 (polls-plus) model: Trump and Clinton virtually tied

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In Uncategorized
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On September 12, 2016
The 538 (polls-plus) model released an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a major vote share of 51.5% for Clinton, and 48.5% for Trump. Putting the results in context Single models often incorporate substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather...
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