Crosstab model in Maryland: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 68.3% of the two-party vote share in Maryland, whereas Trump will end up with 31.7%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they can include large biases. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other econometric models

If we look at an average of Maryland econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 0.0%. This value is 68.3 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Crosstab model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 66.0% of the two-party vote in Maryland. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 15.6 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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