Crosstab model in Massachusetts: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 65.9% for Clinton, and 34.1% for Trump in Massachusetts. In comparison, on November 4, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 65.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton currently runs at 0.0% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Massachusetts. In comparison to her numbers in the Crosstab model Clinton's econometric model average is 65.9 percentage points worse.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 65.3% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 13.2 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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