Jerome model in Utah: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Utah.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, don't focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 59.1% of the two-party vote in Utah. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 5.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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