The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 64.9% of the two-party vote share in Maryland, while Trump will win 35.1%.
Putting the results in context
Single models may include substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, we recommend to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 65.7% of the two-party vote in Maryland. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.8 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Maryland.