Crosstab model in New Mexico: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 53.9% for Clinton, and 46.1% for Trump in New Mexico. In comparison, on November 6 Trump was predicted to win 45.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 55.5% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 1.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Mexico.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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