Tag: 20161MDDeSart

Maryland: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 64.9% of the two-party vote share in Maryland, whereas Trump will win 35.1%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, don't focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 65.4% of the two-party vote in Maryland. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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