The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 93.8% for Clinton, and 6.2% for Trump in Washington, D.C..
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 2.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..