Helmut Norpoth provided an update of his Primary model forecast. The initial forecast posted on February 27 relied on a polling data, not actual results, for the Democratic primary in.
Polly added the Primary model by Helmut Norpoth to its econometric models component. The model is based on state electoral histories and candidates' performance in early primaries. Assuming a Clinton-Trump race, the.
The results of the New Hampshire primary might look good for Donald Trump's prospects to win the Republican nomination. And yet, according to the PollyVote, the Democratic party is the.
The Pollyvote team has completed its second survey of elections experts to forecast the 2016 presidential election. In the late January survey, conducted between January 26 and 30, 17 academics from.
Today, the PollyVote published its first forecast for the 2016 election. Her first forecast of the national popular two-party vote predicts a virtual tie, with the Democrats at 50.1%, and.