The project team will present the PollyVote at the 2016 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association (APSA), which will be held from September 1-4 in Philadelphia, PA. The title of the talk, which.
The results of a new national poll, conducted by Ipsos, were released on 9. March. In the survey participants were asked, whether they would vote for democrat Hillary Clinton or.
Polly added citizen forecasts as the sixth and final component method to its combined forecast. Citizen forecasts, also known as vote expectation surveys, are among the most accurate methods available.
Results of a new national poll carried out by ABC News were released on March 9. Participants were asked, who they would give their vote to, if the election were.
Jay DeSart updated his long-range model with February polling data. The most recent forecast favors the Republican candidates in hypothetical match-ups against both Clinton and Sanders. For the likely outcome.
Bruno and Véronique Jérôme updated their state-by-state political economy model. The model now predicts the Democrats to gain 49.2% of the two-party vote, compared to 50.8% for the Republicans. The.