Ray Fair did not release a forecast update from his presidential vote equation in late April due to the uncertainties regarding the GDP figures for the second and third quarter,.
The first PollyVote forecast for the 2020 U.S. presidential election, published in late April, predicts a tight race for the national popular vote. As of April 26, the combined PollyVote.
PollyVote just published its first forecast for this year's German federal election, which will be held on September 24. This is the second time (after 2013) that the PollyVote provides.
Since its first launch last January, the combined PollyVote forecast has consistently – and correctly – predicted Hillary Clinton to win the popular vote. And so she did, albeit barely..
Based on the latest results, Donald Trump won the election with 305 electoral votes (vs. 233 for Hillary Clinton). Most likely, the final outcome will show a split between the Electoral College.
All numbers are in and, according to the PollyVote, Hillary Clinton will become the first female president of the United States. Popular and Electoral Vote Prediction Clinton will win the.