The Pollyvote has completed its sixth survey of elections experts to forecast the 2020 presidential election. In the survey, conducted from September 16-18, eleven political science professors from a variety of U.S. universities predicted that Joe Biden will win the popular vote by roughly six points. Popular vote...
The Pollyvote has completed its fifth survey of elections experts to forecast the 2020 presidential election. In the survey, conducted from August 18-22, eleven political science professors from a variety.
The Pollyvote has completed its fourth survey of elections experts to forecast the 2020 presidential election. In the survey, conducted from July 21-24, twelve political science professors from a variety.
The Pollyvote has completed its third survey of elections experts to forecast the 2020 presidential election. In the survey, conducted from June 18-22, thirteen political science professors from a variety of U.S. universities predicted that Joe Biden will win the popular vote by nearly eight points....
The Pollyvote has completed its second survey of elections experts to forecast the 2020 presidential election. In the survey, conducted from May 15-18, twelve political science professors from a variety.
Ray Fair did not release a forecast update from his presidential vote equation in late April due to the uncertainties regarding the GDP figures for the second and third quarter,.
The first PollyVote forecast for the 2020 U.S. presidential election, published in late April, predicts a tight race for the national popular vote. As of April 26, the combined PollyVote predicts incumbent President Donald Trump to gain 49.1% of the popular two-party vote, compared to 50.9%...
The Pollyvote has completed its first survey of elections experts to forecast the 2020 presidential election. In the survey, conducted from April 16-20, twelve political science professors from a variety.
PollyVote just published its first forecast for this year's German federal election, which will be held on September 24. This is the second time (after 2013) that the PollyVote provides.
Since its first launch last January, the combined PollyVote forecast has consistently – and correctly – predicted Hillary Clinton to win the popular vote. And so she did, albeit barely. In this preliminary post-mortem of how the PollyVote performed in predicting the 2016 popular vote, we...