Popular vote forecast – PollyVote

Evidence-based election forecasting since 2004

Forecasts
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Evidence-based election forecasting since 2004

Forecasts
- President
About
- Method
- Track record
- Publications
- FAQ
- Team

The PollyVote combines forecasts within and across the following component methods to calculate its popular vote forecast:

Polls (intentions)
Expectations
Models
Naive forecasts

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National vote forecasts

Electoral vote forecasts

Chance of winning (%)

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