Utah: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 38.7% for Clinton, and 61.3% for Trump in Utah. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to win only 38.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often incorporate large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 58.8% of the two-party vote in Utah. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 2.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Jerome model in Utah: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Utah.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they can contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, one should consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 58.7% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Crosstab model in Utah: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 38.6% for Clinton, and 61.4% for Trump in Utah. In comparison, on October 28 Trump was still predicted to achieve 61.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, one should not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, you should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 58.6% of the two-party vote in Utah. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 2.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Utah: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 38.1% for Clinton, and 61.9% for Trump in Utah. In comparison, on October 30 Trump was predicted to achieve 61.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 58.7% of the two-party vote in Utah. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 3.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Utah: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Utah.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 58.6% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Jerome model in Utah: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Utah, whereas Trump will win 64.5%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often incorporate large biases, and should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, one should use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 58.6% of the two-party vote in Utah. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 5.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Utah: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a major vote share of 38.3% for Clinton, and 61.7% for Trump in Utah. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to win only 37.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models can include substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 58.8% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Utah: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Utah.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they can contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 58.8% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Utah: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 38.5% for Clinton, and 61.5% for Trump in Utah. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to gain only 37.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 58.8% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Jerome model in Utah: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Utah.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, you should consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 58.5% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.