Maryland: New Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll shows Trump behind by 35 points

On November 6, Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Maryland were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll results
63

Clinton

28

Trump

Of those who responded, 63.0% said that they would vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 28.0% revealed that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted from March 30 to April 3.

Putting the results in context

Single polls may include large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single polls, forecasting research recommends to consult combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, we convert them into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields values of 70.0% for Clinton and 30.0% for Trump.

The poll in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 65.7% of the two-party vote in Maryland. Hence, Polly's forecast is 4.3 points below her polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Maryland: New PPP (D) poll shows Clinton with 33 points lead

Results of a new poll administered by PPP (D) were published on November 6. The poll asked participants from Maryland for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.

PPP (D) poll results
61

Clinton

28

Trump

Of those who replied, 61.0% said that they plan to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 28.0% said that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out from April 15 to April 17 with 879 registered voters. Considering the poll's margin of error of +/-3.3 percentage points, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Single polls should be regarded with caution, because they often contain substantial biases. Instead of relying on results from single polls, the best practice scientific advice is to use combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can translate them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 68.5% for Clinton and 31.5% for Trump.

Results vs. other polls

Clinton is currently at 69.4% of the two-party vote in an average of recent polls in Maryland. This value is 0.9 percentage points higher than her respective numbers in the PPP (D) poll. This deviation is within the poll's error margin, which means that the poll is not an outlier.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 65.7% of the two-party vote in Maryland. That is, Polly's combined forecast is 2.8 points below her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error reveals that this difference is insignificant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Maryland: New Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll shows Clinton with 35 points lead

Results of a new poll conducted by Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland were distributed on November 6. The poll asked participants from Maryland for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll results
63

Clinton

28

Trump

Of those who responded, 63.0% said that they are going to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 28.0% indicated that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was in the field between March 30 and April 3.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls should be interpreted with caution, as they may incorporate substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, we recommend to use combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

In order to make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, we translate them into two-party vote shares. This procedure results in values of 70.0% for Clinton and 30.0% for Trump. For comparison: Only 69.2% was gained by Clinton in the Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll on April 3, for Trump this result was 30.8%.

Comparison to other polls

Clinton can currently count on 69.4% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent polls in Maryland. This value is 0.6 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 65.7% of the two-party vote in Maryland. Hence, the PollyVote forecast is 4.3 points below her polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

OpinionWorks poll in Maryland: Trump behind by 29 points

Results of a new poll carried out by OpinionWorks were distributed on November 6. The poll asked participants from Maryland for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

OpinionWorks poll results
54

Clinton

25

Trump

The results show that 54.0% of respondents said that they would cast a ballot for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 25.0% would vote for billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from August 18 to August 30. A total of 754 likely voters responded. Taking into account the poll's sampling error of +/-3.6 percentage points, the spread between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls can incorporate large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, we convert them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure results in values of 68.4% for Clinton and 31.7% for Trump.

Results in comparison to other polls

If we look at an average of Maryland polls, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 69.5%. Compared to her numbers in the OpinionWorks poll Clinton's poll average is 1.1 percentage points better. This difference is within the poll's error margin, which means that the poll is not an outlier.

The poll in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 65.7% of the two-party vote in Maryland. Hence, Polly's prediction is 2.7 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore within the poll's margin of error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Maryland: 33 points lead for Clinton in latest Goucher College poll

Goucher College published the results of a new poll on November 6. In this poll, respondents from Maryland were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.

Goucher College poll results
58

Clinton

25

Trump

The results show that 58.0% of respondents intend to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 25.0% plan to vote for billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out from September 17 to September 20 with 514 likely voters. Considering the poll's error margin of +/-4.3 percentage points, the spread between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls can include large biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, we convert them into shares of the two-party vote. The respective figures are 69.9% for Clinton and 30.1% for Trump.

Results compared to other polls

Clinton currently runs at 69.4% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent polls in Maryland. This value is 0.5 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Goucher College poll. This deviation is within the poll's sampling error, which means that the poll is not an outlier.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 65.7% of the two-party vote in Maryland. This means that the combined PollyVote is 4.2 points below her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's error margin suggests that this difference is insignificant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Maryland: New Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll has Trump behind by 35 points

On November 5, Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Maryland were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll results
63

Clinton

28

Trump

The results show that 63.0% of respondents intend to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 28.0% are going to vote for billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out between March 30 and April 3. The sample size was 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single polls, because they often contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

For the following comparison, we convert the candidates' raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. The resulting figures are 69.2% for Clinton and 30.8% for Trump. To compare: 70.0% was obtained by Clinton in the Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll on November 1, for Trump this result was only 30.0%.

Comparison to other polls

An average of recent polls in Maryland has Clinton at 69.4% of the two-party vote. Relative to her numbers in the Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll Clinton's poll average is 0.2 percentage points better.

The poll compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 66.0% of the two-party vote in Maryland. That is, the PollyVote is 3.2 points below her polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Latest OpinionWorks poll in Maryland: Trump trails by a huge margin

On November 6, OpinionWorks released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Maryland were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

OpinionWorks poll results
54

Clinton

25

Trump

According to the results, 54.0% of respondents would give their vote to former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 25.0% plan to vote for businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out between August 18 and August 30. The sample size was 754 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-3.6 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of an individual poll. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can convert them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 68.4% for Clinton and 31.7% for Trump.

Results vs. other polls

Looking at an average of Maryland polls, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 69.5%. In comparison to her numbers in the OpinionWorks poll Clinton's poll average is 1.1 percentage points higher. This deviation is within the poll's margin of error, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 66.0% of the two-party vote in Maryland. That is, the PollyVote forecast is 2.4 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus in line with the poll's sampling error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

New Goucher College poll in Maryland: Trump trails by a overwhelming margin

Goucher College published the results of a new poll on November 6. In this poll, respondents from Maryland were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

Goucher College poll results
58

Clinton

25

Trump

Of those who replied, 58.0% said that they are going to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 25.0% revealed that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was in the field between September 17 and September 20. The sample size was 514 likely voters. Taking into account the poll's sampling error of +/-4.3 percentage points, the difference in voter support is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single polls, since they can incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following comparison, we convert Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields figures of 69.9% for Clinton and 30.1% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

Clinton currently runs at 69.4% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent polls in Maryland. This value is 0.5 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Goucher College poll. This deviation is within the poll's margin of error, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 66.0% of the two-party vote in Maryland. Hence, the combined PollyVote is 3.9 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore in line with the poll's error margin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Clinton leads in Maryland by 33 points in latest PPP (D) poll

PPP (D) published the results of a new poll on November 6. In this poll, respondents from Maryland were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

PPP (D) poll results
61

Clinton

28

Trump

According to the results, 61.0% of participants are going to vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 28.0% are going to vote for businessman Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted from April 15 to April 17, among a random sample of 879 registered voters. There is a sampling error of +/-3.3 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls often include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single polls, forecasting research recommends to consult combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, we convert them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 68.5% for Clinton and 31.5% for Trump.

Results compared to other polls

An average of recent polls in Maryland sees Clinton at 69.4% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.9 percentage points higher than her corresponding numbers in the PPP (D) poll. This deviation is within the poll's sampling error, which means that the poll is not an outlier.

The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 66.0% of the two-party vote in Maryland. This means that the PollyVote forecast is 2.5 points below her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error indicates that this difference is negligible.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

DeSart & Holbrook model in Maryland: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 64.0% of the two-party vote share in Maryland, while Trump will win 36.0%.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, as they can incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 66.0% of the two-party vote in Maryland. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 2.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Maryland.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.