Massachusetts: New Western NE University*Western NE University* poll shows Trump behind by 30 points

On November 6, Western NE UniversityWestern NE University released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Massachusetts were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

Western NE UniversityWestern NE University poll results
56

Clinton

26

Trump

Of those who replied, 56.0% said that they would vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 26.0% declared that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted from October 23 to November 2, among a random sample of 417 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-5.0 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls can incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, the recommended strategy rely on combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

For the following comparison, we translate the candidates' raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This procedure results in figures of 68.3% for Clinton and 31.7% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

If we look at an average of Massachusetts polls, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 67.5%. This value is 0.8 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Western NE UniversityWestern NE University poll. This deviation is within the poll's sampling error, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 65.2% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. Hence, the combined PollyVote is 3.1 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore in line with the poll's margin of error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Massachusetts: New Boston Globe/Suffolk poll shows Clinton with 32 points lead

On November 6, Boston Globe/Suffolk released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Massachusetts were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

Boston Globe/Suffolk poll results
57

Clinton

25

Trump

Of those who answered the question, 57.0% said that they will vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 25.0% revealed that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted from October 24 to October 26, among a random sample of 500 likely voters. The margin of error is +/-4.4 points. This means that the poll results for the Republican and the Democratic candidate differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls may contain large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following comparison, we convert the candidates' raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 69.5% for Clinton and 30.5% for Trump.

Results in comparison to other polls

If we look at an average of Massachusetts polls, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 67.5%. This value is 2 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Boston Globe/Suffolk poll. This margin is within the poll's sampling error, which means that the poll is not an outlier.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 65.2% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. Hence, Polly's forecast is 4.3 points below her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error shows that this deviation is negligible.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Massachusetts: Clinton holds whopping lead in Boston Globe/Suffolk poll

On November 6, Boston Globe/Suffolk released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Massachusetts were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.

Boston Globe/Suffolk poll results
57

Clinton

25

Trump

Of those who replied, 57.0% said that they plan to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 25.0% revealed that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out between October 24 and October 26. The sample size was 500 likely voters. The sampling error is +/-4.4 percentage points, which means that the levels of voter support for the Republican and the Democratic candidate differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single polls, because they can incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can convert them into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields values of 69.5% for Clinton and 30.5% for Trump.

Results vs. other polls

Clinton is currently at 67.5% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent polls in Massachusetts. This value is 2 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Boston Globe/Suffolk poll. This margin is within the poll's error margin, which means that the poll is not an outlier.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 65.3% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. Hence, the combined PollyVote is 4.2 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus in line with the poll's error margin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Clinton leads in Massachusetts by 30 points in latest Western NE University*Western NE University* poll

Western NE UniversityWestern NE University published the results of a new poll on November 6. In this poll, respondents from Massachusetts were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

Western NE UniversityWestern NE University poll results
56

Clinton

26

Trump

According to the results, 56.0% of participants are going to vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 26.0% are going to vote for businessman Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted from October 23 to November 2, among a random sample of 417 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-5.0 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls often include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single polls, forecasting research recommends to consult combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, we convert them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 68.3% for Clinton and 31.7% for Trump.

Results compared to other polls

An average of recent polls in Massachusetts sees Clinton at 67.5% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.8 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Western NE UniversityWestern NE University poll. This deviation is within the poll's sampling error, which means that the poll is not an outlier.

The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 65.3% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. This means that the PollyVote forecast is 3.0 points below her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error indicates that this difference is negligible.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Latest WBUR/MassINC poll in Massachusetts: Trump trails by a huge margin

Results of a new poll conducted by WBUR/MassINC were distributed on November 6. The poll asked interviewees from Massachusetts for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

WBUR/MassINC poll results
57

Clinton

31

Trump

Of those who replied, 57.0% said that they would vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 31.0% revealed that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out from October 13 to October 16 with 502 likely voters. The margin of error is +/-4.4 points, which means that the poll results for Trump and Clinton differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

Single polls may contain substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following comparison, we translate Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 64.8% for Clinton and 35.2% for Trump.

Results in comparison to other polls

If we look at an average of Massachusetts polls, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 67.5%. In comparison to her numbers in the WBUR/MassINC poll Clinton's poll average is 2.7 percentage points better. This difference is within the poll's error margin, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.

The poll compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 65.3% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. Hence, the PollyVote is 0.5 points above her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's error margin reveals that this difference is insignificant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

DeSart & Holbrook model in Massachusetts: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 66.7% for Clinton, and 33.4% for Trump in Massachusetts. In comparison, on November 1 Trump was still predicted to achieve 33.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, as they may include large biases. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice is to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 65.5% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Massachusetts: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 66.4% of the two-party vote share in Massachusetts, whereas Trump will win 33.6%. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to collect only 66.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 65.5% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Massachusetts.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

DeSart & Holbrook model in Massachusetts: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 66.4% for Clinton, and 33.7% for Trump in Massachusetts.

Putting the results in context

Single models can include substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 65.5% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Massachusetts.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Boston Globe/Suffolk poll in Massachusetts: Clinton with 32 points lead

Boston Globe/Suffolk released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Massachusetts were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

Boston Globe/Suffolk poll results
57

Clinton

25

Trump

Of those who responded, 57.0% said that they intend to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 25.0% revealed that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out from October 24 to October 26 among 500 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-4.4 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't be too confident the results of a single poll. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, we translate them into shares of the two-party vote. The corresponding figures are 69.5% for Clinton and 30.5% for Trump.

Results compared to other polls

An average of recent polls in Massachusetts sees Clinton at 67.5% of the two-party vote. Compared to her numbers in the Boston Globe/Suffolk poll Clinton's poll average is 2 percentage points worse. This difference is within the poll's margin of error, which means that the poll is not an outlier.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 65.5% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. Hence, Polly's forecast is 4.0 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore within the poll's error margin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Massachusetts: New WBUR/MassINC poll shows Trump trailing by 26 points

WBUR/MassINC published the results of a new poll. In this poll, interviewees from Massachusetts were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

WBUR/MassINC poll results
57

Clinton

31

Trump

Of those who answered the question, 57.0% said that they intend to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 31.0% indicated that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted from October 13 to October 16, among a random sample of 502 likely voters. Given the poll's sampling error of +/-4.4 percentage points, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls can incorporate substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, one can convert them into two-party vote shares. This procedure results in values of 64.8% for Clinton and 35.2% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

An average of recent polls in Massachusetts has Clinton at 67.6% of the two-party vote. This value is 2.8 percentage points higher than her corresponding numbers in the WBUR/MassINC poll. This difference is within the poll's sampling error, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 65.5% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. Hence, the PollyVote is 0.7 points above her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore within the poll's error margin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.