A new ABC News/Washington Post poll provided updated citizen forecasts. In the polls, people were asked: “Regardless of whom you support, if Clinton and Trump are the nominees for president, who would you expect to win: Clinton or Trump?” According to the results, 50% of respondents expected Clinton to...
Citizen forecasts
Polly added citizen forecasts as the sixth and final component method to its combined forecast. Citizen forecasts, also known as vote expectation surveys, are among the most accurate methods available.