Electoral vote

Experts see Trump’s chance at reelection decline in early October survey

By Andreas Graefe

On October 12, 2020

The PollyVote has completed its seventh survey of elections experts to forecast the 2020 presidential election. In the survey, conducted from October 7-9, twelve political science professors from a variety of U.S. universities predicted that Joe Biden is likely to win the electoral college andwill win the popular...

Electoral vote , PollyVote , Popular vote , Uncategorized

Final PollyVote forecast: Clinton will win

By Andreas Graefe

On November 8, 2016

All numbers are in and, according to the PollyVote, Hillary Clinton will become the first female president of the United States. Popular and Electoral Vote Prediction Clinton will win the.

Electoral vote , Experts , Uncategorized

Political scientists predict Clinton will win 334 electoral votes, compared to 204 for Donald Trump

By Andreas Graefe

On November 8, 2016

The PollyVote team has conducted the fourth and final round of its state-level expert survey. According to the forecasts of 638 political scientists, Hillary Clinton will win 334 Electoral Votes, compared.

Experts agree: Clinton will win

By Andreas Graefe

In Electoral vote , Experts

On November 1, 2016

The PollyVote team has completed its 12th survey of elections experts to forecast the 2016 presidential election. In this survey, conducted between October 29 and 31, 13 academics from a variety of colleges and universities responded. As in previous rounds, all respondents expect a Clinton win. However, her lead...

Electoral vote , Experts

State-wide survey of political scientists: Clinton now at 358 electoral votes

By Andreas Graefe

On October 20, 2016

The PollyVote team has conducted the third round of its state-level expert survey. According to the forecasts of 673 political scientists, Hillary Clinton will win 358 Electoral Votes, compared to 180.

Electoral vote , Experts

Survey of political scientists: Clinton will win 347 electoral votes

By Andreas Graefe

On September 26, 2016

The PollyVote team has conducted the second round of its state-level expert survey. According to the experts’ judgment, Hillary Clinton will win 347 electoral votes, compared to 191 for Donald.

Political scientists predict Clinton will win 347 electoral votes

By Andreas Graefe

In Electoral vote , Experts

On August 22, 2016

Asking experts to predict what is going to happen is probably one of the oldest forecasting methods available. When it comes to predicting election outcomes, we expect experts to have experience in reading and interpreting polls, putting them in historical context, and estimating the likely effects of upcoming...