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20160NationalVox.com2016020160Nationalecon_models_NL2016008.11.2016NationalVox.comR50.949.1000049.10http://www.vox.com/a/trump-tax1478454677
20160NationalTrial-heat2016020160Nationalecon_models_NL2016008.11.2016NationalTrial-heatD49.350.7000050.70http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/trial-heat-model/1478454678
20160NationalTime-for-change2016020160Nationalecon_models_NL2016008.11.2016NationalTime-for-changeR51.448.6000048.60http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/time-for-change-model/1478454672
20160NationalPrimary2016020160Nationalecon_models_NL2016008.11.2016NationalPrimaryR52.547.5000047.50http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/primary-model/1478454683
20160NationalLockerbie2016020160Nationalecon_models_NL2016008.11.2016NationalLockerbieD49.650.4000050.40https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/ps-political-science-and-politics/article/economic-pessimism-and-political-punishment/C4B3D6354BBA4D008CA0E966094D85281478454675
20160NationalLewis-Beck2016020160Nationalecon_models_NL2016008.11.2016NationalLewis-Beck & TienD48.951.1000051.10http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/lewis-beck-tien/1478454676
20160NationalLeading2016020160Nationalecon_models_NL2016008.11.2016NationalLeading indicatorsD4852.0000052.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/leading-economic-indicators-and-the-polls/1478454672
20160NationalJérôme2016020160Nationalecon_models_NL2016008.11.2016NationalJérôme & JérômeD49.850.2000050.20http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/jerome-jerome/1478454669
20160NationalHolbrook2016020160Nationalecon_models_NL2016008.11.2016NationalHolbrook & DeSartD47.1752.8300152.83http://research.uvu.edu/DeSart/forecasting/1478592515
20160NationalHolbrook2016020160Nationalecon_models_NL2016008.11.2016NationalHolbrookD47.552.5000052.50http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/holbrook/1478454679
20160NationalFiscal2016020160Nationalecon_models_NL2016008.11.2016NationalFiscal modelR51.848.2000048.20http://pollyvote.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/FISCAL-MODEL-FORECAST-FOR-2016-AMERICAN-PRESIDENTIAL-ELECTION.pdf1478454674
20160NationalFair2016020160Nationalecon_models_NL2016008.11.2016NationalFairR5644.0000044.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/fair-model/1478454666
20160NationalElectoral-cycle2016020160Nationalecon_models_NL2016008.11.2016NationalElectoral-cycleR51.448.6000048.60http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/electoral-cycle-model/1478454667
20160NationalDeSart2016020160Nationalecon_models_NL2016008.11.2016NationalDeSartR50.1849.8200049.82http://research.uvu.edu/DeSart/forecasting/LongRange/1478454671
20160NationalCrosstab2016020160Nationalecon_models_NL2016008.11.2016NationalCrosstabD48.2751.7300151.731478592518
20160NationalConvention2016020160Nationalecon_models_NL2016008.11.2016NationalConvention bumpD48.851.2000051.20http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/convention-bump-model/1478454678
20160NationalBread2016020160Nationalecon_models_NL2016008.11.2016NationalBread & PeaceD46.153.9000053.90http://douglas-hibbs.com1478454681
20160National5382016020160Nationalecon_models_NL2016008.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)D48.0851.9200151.92http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478592509
20161NationalVox.com2016120161Nationalecon_models_NL2016107.11.2016NationalVox.comR50.949.1000049.10http://www.vox.com/a/trump-tax1478454677
20161NationalTrial-heat2016120161Nationalecon_models_NL2016107.11.2016NationalTrial-heatD49.350.7000050.70http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/trial-heat-model/1478454678
20161NationalTime-for-change2016120161Nationalecon_models_NL2016107.11.2016NationalTime-for-changeR51.448.6000048.60http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/time-for-change-model/1478454672
20161NationalPrimary2016120161Nationalecon_models_NL2016107.11.2016NationalPrimaryR52.547.5000047.50http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/primary-model/1478454683
20161NationalLockerbie2016120161Nationalecon_models_NL2016107.11.2016NationalLockerbieD49.650.4000050.40https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/ps-political-science-and-politics/article/economic-pessimism-and-political-punishment/C4B3D6354BBA4D008CA0E966094D85281478454675
20161NationalLewis-Beck2016120161Nationalecon_models_NL2016107.11.2016NationalLewis-Beck & TienD48.951.1000051.10http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/lewis-beck-tien/1478454676
20161NationalLeading2016120161Nationalecon_models_NL2016107.11.2016NationalLeading indicatorsD4852.0000052.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/leading-economic-indicators-and-the-polls/1478454672
20161NationalJérôme2016120161Nationalecon_models_NL2016107.11.2016NationalJérôme & JérômeD49.850.2000050.20http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/jerome-jerome/1478454669
20161NationalHolbrook2016120161Nationalecon_models_NL2016107.11.2016NationalHolbrook & DeSartD47.0352.9700152.97http://research.uvu.edu/DeSart/forecasting/1478541122
20161NationalHolbrook2016120161Nationalecon_models_NL2016107.11.2016NationalHolbrookD47.552.5000052.50http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/holbrook/1478454679
20161NationalFiscal2016120161Nationalecon_models_NL2016107.11.2016NationalFiscal modelR51.848.2000048.20http://pollyvote.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/FISCAL-MODEL-FORECAST-FOR-2016-AMERICAN-PRESIDENTIAL-ELECTION.pdf1478454674
20161NationalFair2016120161Nationalecon_models_NL2016107.11.2016NationalFairR5644.0000044.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/fair-model/1478454666
20161NationalElectoral-cycle2016120161Nationalecon_models_NL2016107.11.2016NationalElectoral-cycleR51.448.6000048.60http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/electoral-cycle-model/1478454667
20161NationalDeSart2016120161Nationalecon_models_NL2016107.11.2016NationalDeSartR50.1849.8200049.82http://research.uvu.edu/DeSart/forecasting/LongRange/1478454671
20161NationalCrosstab2016120161Nationalecon_models_NL2016107.11.2016NationalCrosstabD48.1651.8400151.841478541123
20161NationalConvention2016120161Nationalecon_models_NL2016107.11.2016NationalConvention bumpD48.851.2000051.20http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/convention-bump-model/1478454678
20161NationalBread2016120161Nationalecon_models_NL2016107.11.2016NationalBread & PeaceD46.153.9000053.90http://douglas-hibbs.com1478454681
20161National5382016120161Nationalecon_models_NL2016107.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)D48.4651.5400151.54http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478541114
20162NationalVox.com2016220162Nationalecon_models_NL2016206.11.2016NationalVox.comR50.949.1000149.10http://www.vox.com/a/trump-tax1478454677
20162NationalTrial-heat2016220162Nationalecon_models_NL2016206.11.2016NationalTrial-heatD49.350.7000150.70http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/trial-heat-model/1478454678
20162NationalTime-for-change2016220162Nationalecon_models_NL2016206.11.2016NationalTime-for-changeR51.448.6000148.60http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/time-for-change-model/1478454672
20162NationalPrimary2016220162Nationalecon_models_NL2016206.11.2016NationalPrimaryR52.547.5000147.50http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/primary-model/1478454683
20162NationalLockerbie2016220162Nationalecon_models_NL2016206.11.2016NationalLockerbieD49.650.4000150.40https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/ps-political-science-and-politics/article/economic-pessimism-and-political-punishment/C4B3D6354BBA4D008CA0E966094D85281478454675
20162NationalLewis-Beck2016220162Nationalecon_models_NL2016206.11.2016NationalLewis-Beck & TienD48.951.1000151.10http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/lewis-beck-tien/1478454676
20162NationalLeading2016220162Nationalecon_models_NL2016206.11.2016NationalLeading indicatorsD4852.0000152.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/leading-economic-indicators-and-the-polls/1478454672
20162NationalJérôme2016220162Nationalecon_models_NL2016206.11.2016NationalJérôme & JérômeD49.850.2000150.20http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/jerome-jerome/1478454669
20162NationalHolbrook2016220162Nationalecon_models_NL2016206.11.2016NationalHolbrook & DeSartD46.6553.3500153.35http://research.uvu.edu/DeSart/forecasting/1478454680
20162NationalHolbrook2016220162Nationalecon_models_NL2016206.11.2016NationalHolbrookD47.552.5000152.50http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/holbrook/1478454679
20162NationalFiscal2016220162Nationalecon_models_NL2016206.11.2016NationalFiscal modelR51.848.2000148.20http://pollyvote.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/FISCAL-MODEL-FORECAST-FOR-2016-AMERICAN-PRESIDENTIAL-ELECTION.pdf1478454674
20162NationalFair2016220162Nationalecon_models_NL2016206.11.2016NationalFairR5644.0000144.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/fair-model/1478454666
20162NationalElectoral-cycle2016220162Nationalecon_models_NL2016206.11.2016NationalElectoral-cycleR51.448.6000148.60http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/electoral-cycle-model/1478454667
20162NationalDeSart2016220162Nationalecon_models_NL2016206.11.2016NationalDeSartR50.1849.8200149.82http://research.uvu.edu/DeSart/forecasting/LongRange/1478454671
20162NationalCrosstab2016220162Nationalecon_models_NL2016206.11.2016NationalCrosstabD47.7452.2600152.261478454682
20162NationalConvention2016220162Nationalecon_models_NL2016206.11.2016NationalConvention bumpD48.851.2000151.20http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/convention-bump-model/1478454678
20162NationalBread2016220162Nationalecon_models_NL2016206.11.2016NationalBread & PeaceD46.153.9000153.90http://douglas-hibbs.com1478454681
20162National5382016220162Nationalecon_models_NL2016206.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)D48.5151.4900151.49http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478454673
20163National5382016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.5151.490.000.0000000.000.00151.490.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478368263
20163National5382016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.5151.490.000.0000000.000.00151.490.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478368263
20163NationalBread2016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016NationalBread & Peace00.000.0000DD0.000046.1053.900.000.0000000.000.00153.900.000.000.000.0000.00http://douglas-hibbs.com1478368268
20163NationalConvention2016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016NationalConvention bump00.000.0000DD0.000048.8051.200.000.0000000.000.00151.200.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/convention-bump-model/1478368266
20163NationalCrosstab2016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016NationalCrosstab00.000.0000DD0.000047.7452.260.000.0000000.000.00152.260.000.000.000.0000.001478368269
20163NationalDeSart2016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016NationalDeSart00.000.0000RR0.000050.1849.820.000.0000000.000.00149.820.000.000.000.0000.00http://research.uvu.edu/DeSart/forecasting/LongRange/1478368261
20163NationalElectoral-cycle2016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016NationalElectoral-cycle00.000.0000RR0.000051.4048.600.000.0000000.000.00148.600.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/electoral-cycle-model/1478368260
20163NationalFair2016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016NationalFair00.000.0000RR0.000056.0044.000.000.0000000.000.00144.000.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/fair-model/1478368259
20163NationalFiscal2016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016NationalFiscal model00.000.0000RR0.000051.8048.200.000.0000000.000.00148.200.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/FISCAL-MODEL-FORECAST-FOR-2016-AMERICAN-PRESIDENTIAL-ELECTION.pdf1478368264
20163NationalHolbrook2016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016NationalHolbrook & DeSart00.000.0000DD0.000046.6553.350.000.0000000.000.00153.350.000.000.000.0000.00http://research.uvu.edu/DeSart/forecasting/1478368268
20163NationalJérôme2016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016NationalJérôme & Jérôme00.000.0000DD0.000049.8050.200.000.0000000.000.00150.200.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/jerome-jerome/1478368261
20163NationalLeading2016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016NationalLeading indicators00.000.0000DD0.000048.0052.000.000.0000000.000.00152.000.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/leading-economic-indicators-and-the-polls/1478368263
20163NationalLewis-Beck2016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016NationalLewis-Beck & Tien00.000.0000DD0.000048.9051.100.000.0000000.000.00151.100.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/lewis-beck-tien/1478368265
20163NationalLockerbie2016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016NationalLockerbie00.000.0000DD0.000049.6050.400.000.0000000.000.00150.400.000.000.000.0000.00https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/ps-political-science-and-politics/article/economic-pessimism-and-political-punishment/C4B3D6354BBA4D008CA0E966094D85281478368264
20163NationalPrimary2016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016NationalPrimary00.000.0000RR0.000052.5047.500.000.0000000.000.00147.500.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/primary-model/1478368270
20163NationalTime-for-change2016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016NationalTime-for-change00.000.0000RR0.000051.4048.600.000.0000000.000.00148.600.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/time-for-change-model/1478368262
20163NationalTrial-heat2016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016NationalTrial-heat00.000.0000DD0.000049.3050.700.000.0000000.000.00150.700.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/trial-heat-model/1478368266
20163NationalVox.com2016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016NationalVox.com00.000.0000RR0.000050.9049.100.000.0000000.000.00149.100.000.000.000.0000.00http://www.vox.com/a/trump-tax1478368265
20163National5382016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.5151.490.000.0000000.000.00151.490.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478368263
20163National5382016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.5151.490.000.0000000.000.00151.490.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478368263
20163National5382016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.5151.490.000.0000000.000.00151.490.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478368263
20163National5382016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.5151.490.000.0000000.000.00151.490.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478368263
20163National5382016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.5151.490.000.0000000.000.00151.490.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478368263
20163National5382016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.5151.490.000.0000000.000.00151.490.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478368263
20163National5382016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.5151.490.000.0000000.000.00151.490.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478368263
20163National5382016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.5151.490.000.0000000.000.00151.490.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478368263
20163National5382016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.5151.490.000.0000000.000.00151.490.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478368263
20163National5382016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.5151.490.000.0000000.000.00151.490.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478368263
20163National5382016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.5151.490.000.0000000.000.00151.490.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478368263
20163National5382016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.5151.490.000.0000000.000.00151.490.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478368263
20163National5382016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.5151.490.000.0000000.000.00151.490.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478368263
20163National5382016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.5151.490.000.0000000.000.00151.490.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478368263
20163National5382016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.5151.490.000.0000000.000.00151.490.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478368263
20163National5382016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.5151.490.000.0000000.000.00151.490.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478368263
20163National5382016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.5151.490.000.0000000.000.00151.490.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478368263
20163National5382016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.5151.490.000.0000000.000.00151.490.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478368263
20163National5382016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.5151.490.000.0000000.000.00151.490.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478368263
20163National5382016320163Nationalecon_models_NL2016305.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.5151.490.000.0000000.000.00151.490.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478368263
20164NationalBread2016420164Nationalecon_models_NL2016404.11.2016NationalBread & Peace00.000.0000DD0.000046.1053.900.000.0000000.000.00153.900.000.000.000.0000.00http://douglas-hibbs.com1478281868
20164NationalConvention2016420164Nationalecon_models_NL2016404.11.2016NationalConvention bump00.000.0000DD0.000048.8051.200.000.0000000.000.00151.200.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/convention-bump-model/1478281866
20164NationalCrosstab2016420164Nationalecon_models_NL2016404.11.2016NationalCrosstab00.000.0000DD0.000047.6852.320.000.0000000.000.00152.320.000.000.000.0000.001478281869
20164NationalDeSart2016420164Nationalecon_models_NL2016404.11.2016NationalDeSart00.000.0000RR0.000050.1849.820.000.0000000.000.00149.820.000.000.000.0000.00http://research.uvu.edu/DeSart/forecasting/LongRange/1478281861
20164NationalElectoral-cycle2016420164Nationalecon_models_NL2016404.11.2016NationalElectoral-cycle00.000.0000RR0.000051.4048.600.000.0000000.000.00148.600.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/electoral-cycle-model/1478281860
20164NationalFair2016420164Nationalecon_models_NL2016404.11.2016NationalFair00.000.0000RR0.000056.0044.000.000.0000000.000.00144.000.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/fair-model/1478281859
20164NationalFiscal2016420164Nationalecon_models_NL2016404.11.2016NationalFiscal model00.000.0000RR0.000051.8048.200.000.0000000.000.00148.200.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/FISCAL-MODEL-FORECAST-FOR-2016-AMERICAN-PRESIDENTIAL-ELECTION.pdf1478281864
20164NationalHolbrook2016420164Nationalecon_models_NL2016404.11.2016NationalHolbrook & DeSart00.000.0000DD0.000046.6553.350.000.0000000.000.00153.350.000.000.000.0000.00http://research.uvu.edu/DeSart/forecasting/1478281867
20164NationalJérôme2016420164Nationalecon_models_NL2016404.11.2016NationalJérôme & Jérôme00.000.0000DD0.000049.8050.200.000.0000000.000.00150.200.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/jerome-jerome/1478281860
20164NationalLeading2016420164Nationalecon_models_NL2016404.11.2016NationalLeading indicators00.000.0000DD0.000048.0052.000.000.0000000.000.00152.000.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/leading-economic-indicators-and-the-polls/1478281862
20164NationalLewis-Beck2016420164Nationalecon_models_NL2016404.11.2016NationalLewis-Beck & Tien00.000.0000DD0.000048.9051.100.000.0000000.000.00151.100.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/lewis-beck-tien/1478281865
20164NationalLockerbie2016420164Nationalecon_models_NL2016404.11.2016NationalLockerbie00.000.0000DD0.000049.6050.400.000.0000000.000.00150.400.000.000.000.0000.00https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/ps-political-science-and-politics/article/economic-pessimism-and-political-punishment/C4B3D6354BBA4D008CA0E966094D85281478281864
20164NationalPrimary2016420164Nationalecon_models_NL2016404.11.2016NationalPrimary00.000.0000RR0.000052.5047.500.000.0000000.000.00147.500.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/primary-model/1478281869
20164NationalTime-for-change2016420164Nationalecon_models_NL2016404.11.2016NationalTime-for-change00.000.0000RR0.000051.4048.600.000.0000000.000.00148.600.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/time-for-change-model/1478281862
20164NationalTrial-heat2016420164Nationalecon_models_NL2016404.11.2016NationalTrial-heat00.000.0000DD0.000049.3050.700.000.0000000.000.00150.700.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/trial-heat-model/1478281866
20164NationalVox.com2016420164Nationalecon_models_NL2016404.11.2016NationalVox.com00.000.0000RR0.000050.9049.100.000.0000000.000.00149.100.000.000.000.0000.00http://www.vox.com/a/trump-tax1478281865
20165National5382016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.4051.600.000.0000000.000.00151.600.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478195474
20165National5382016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.4051.600.000.0000000.000.00151.600.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478195474
20165NationalBread2016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016NationalBread & Peace00.000.0000DD0.000046.1053.900.000.0000000.000.00153.900.000.000.000.0000.00http://douglas-hibbs.com1478195493
20165NationalConvention2016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016NationalConvention bump00.000.0000DD0.000048.8051.200.000.0000000.000.00151.200.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/convention-bump-model/1478195488
20165NationalCrosstab2016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016NationalCrosstab00.000.0000DD0.000047.6352.370.000.0000000.000.00152.370.000.000.000.0000.001478195493
20165NationalDeSart2016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016NationalDeSart00.000.0000RR0.000050.1849.820.000.0000000.000.00149.820.000.000.000.0000.00http://research.uvu.edu/DeSart/forecasting/LongRange/1478195468
20165NationalElectoral-cycle2016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016NationalElectoral-cycle00.000.0000RR0.000051.4048.600.000.0000000.000.00148.600.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/electoral-cycle-model/1478195466
20165NationalFair2016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016NationalFair00.000.0000RR0.000056.0044.000.000.0000000.000.00144.000.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/fair-model/1478195465
20165NationalFiscal2016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016NationalFiscal model00.000.0000RR0.000051.8048.200.000.0000000.000.00148.200.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/FISCAL-MODEL-FORECAST-FOR-2016-AMERICAN-PRESIDENTIAL-ELECTION.pdf1478195478
20165NationalHolbrook2016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016NationalHolbrook & DeSart00.000.0000DD0.000046.6553.350.000.0000000.000.00153.350.000.000.000.0000.00http://research.uvu.edu/DeSart/forecasting/1478195492
20165NationalJérôme2016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016NationalJérôme & Jérôme00.000.0000DD0.000049.8050.200.000.0000000.000.00150.200.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/jerome-jerome/1478195467
20165NationalLeading2016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016NationalLeading indicators00.000.0000DD0.000048.0052.000.000.0000000.000.00152.000.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/leading-economic-indicators-and-the-polls/1478195471
20165NationalLewis-Beck2016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016NationalLewis-Beck & Tien00.000.0000DD0.000048.9051.100.000.0000000.000.00151.100.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/lewis-beck-tien/1478195482
20165NationalLockerbie2016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016NationalLockerbie00.000.0000DD0.000049.6050.400.000.0000000.000.00150.400.000.000.000.0000.00https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/ps-political-science-and-politics/article/economic-pessimism-and-political-punishment/C4B3D6354BBA4D008CA0E966094D85281478195480
20165NationalPrimary2016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016NationalPrimary00.000.0000RR0.000052.5047.500.000.0000000.000.00147.500.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/primary-model/1478195494
20165NationalTime-for-change2016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016NationalTime-for-change00.000.0000RR0.000051.4048.600.000.0000000.000.00148.600.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/time-for-change-model/1478195469
20165NationalTrial-heat2016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016NationalTrial-heat00.000.0000DD0.000049.3050.700.000.0000000.000.00150.700.000.000.000.0000.00http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/trial-heat-model/1478195486
20165NationalVox.com2016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016NationalVox.com00.000.0000RR0.000050.9049.100.000.0000000.000.00149.100.000.000.000.0000.00http://www.vox.com/a/trump-tax1478195483
20165National5382016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.4051.600.000.0000000.000.00151.600.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478195474
20165National5382016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.4051.600.000.0000000.000.00151.600.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478195474
20165National5382016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.4051.600.000.0000000.000.00151.600.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478195474
20165National5382016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.4051.600.000.0000000.000.00151.600.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478195474
20165National5382016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.4051.600.000.0000000.000.00151.600.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478195474
20165National5382016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.4051.600.000.0000000.000.00151.600.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478195474
20165National5382016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.4051.600.000.0000000.000.00151.600.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478195474
20165National5382016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.4051.600.000.0000000.000.00151.600.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478195474
20165National5382016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.4051.600.000.0000000.000.00151.600.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478195474
20165National5382016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.4051.600.000.0000000.000.00151.600.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478195474
20165National5382016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.4051.600.000.0000000.000.00151.600.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478195474
20165National5382016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.4051.600.000.0000000.000.00151.600.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478195474
20165National5382016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.4051.600.000.0000000.000.00151.600.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478195474
20165National5382016520165Nationalecon_models_NL2016503.11.2016National538 (polls-plus)00.000.0000DD0.000048.4051.600.000.0000000.000.00151.600.000.000.000.0000.00http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus1478195474
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