Expert survey: CDU/CSU gains at the cost of the Greens
PollyVote has completed the third round of its monthly expert survey for this year’s German federal election. The experts expect the CDU/CSU to be the strongest party with 30.0% of the vote, a gain of nearly three points compared to the last survey round. The Greens lose 2.4 points and are now predicted to receive 20.4%. The SPD is expected to achieve 16.6% (+0.3 points), followed by the FDP at 10.5%, the AfD at 9.9%, and the Left Party (7.2%). The predicted vote share for all other parties combined is 5.4 points.
Once a month, the experts forecast the vote shares of the respective parties in the federal election on September 26. A total of 17 experts participated in the third round of the survey, which was conducted from July 7-12. The PollyVote team would like to thank:
- Prof. Dr. Kai Arzheimer
- Prof. Dr. Joachim Behnke
- Dr. Evelyn Bytzek
- Prof. Dr. Marc Debus
- Prof. Dr. Simon Tobias Franzmann
- Prof. Dr. Oscar Gabriel
- Prof. Dr. Achim Goerres
- Dr. Alexander Jedinger
- Prof. Dr. Max Kaase
- Dr. Michael Meffert
- Prof. Dr. Peter Schrott
- Prof. Dr. Andreas Wüst
- Prof. Dr. Thomas Zittel
as well as four experts who preferred to remain anonymous.