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Expert survey: CDU/CSU gains at the cost of the Greens


PollyVote has completed the third round of its monthly expert survey for this year’s German federal election. The experts expect the CDU/CSU to be the strongest party with 30.0% of the vote, a gain of nearly three points compared to the last survey round. The Greens lose 2.4 points and are now predicted to receive 20.4%. The SPD is expected to achieve 16.6% (+0.3 points), followed by the FDP at 10.5%, the AfD at 9.9%, and the Left Party (7.2%). The predicted vote share for all other parties combined is 5.4 points.

Once a month, the experts forecast the vote shares of the respective parties in the federal election on September 26. A total of 17 experts participated in the third round of the survey, which was conducted from July 7-12. The PollyVote team would like to thank:

  1. Prof. Dr. Kai Arzheimer
  2. Prof. Dr. Joachim Behnke
  3. Dr. Evelyn Bytzek
  4. Prof. Dr. Marc Debus
  5. Prof. Dr. Simon Tobias Franzmann
  6. Prof. Dr. Oscar Gabriel
  7. Prof. Dr. Achim Goerres
  8. Dr. Alexander Jedinger
  9. Prof. Dr. Max Kaase
  10. Dr. Michael Meffert
  11. Prof. Dr. Peter Schrott
  12. Prof. Dr. Andreas Wüst
  13. Prof. Dr. Thomas Zittel

as well as four experts who preferred to remain anonymous.

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