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PollyVote expert survey: CDU/CSU five points ahead of the Greens


PollyVote has completed the second round of its monthly expert survey for this year’s German federal election. The experts expect the CDU/CSU to be the strongest party with 27.4%, roughly 5 points ahead of the Greens, which the experts see at 22.7%. The SPD is expected to gain 16.3%, followed by the AfD and FDP (10.6% each), and the Left Party (7.0%). The predicted vote share for all other parties combined is 5.5 points.

Once a month, the experts forecast the vote shares of the respective parties in the federal election on September 26. A total of 17 experts participated in the second round of the survey, which was conducted from May 28 to June 1. The PollyVote team would like to thank:

  1. Prof. Dr. Kai Arzheimer
  2. Prof. Dr. Joachim Behnke
  3. Dr. Evelyn Bytzek
  4. Prof. Dr. Marc Debus
  5. Prof. Dr. Martin Elff
  6. Prof. Dr. Simon Tobias Franzmann
  7. Prof. Dr. Oscar Gabriel
  8. Prof. Dr. Achim Goerres
  9. Dr. Alexander Jedinger
  10. Prof. Dr. Max Kaase
  11. Dr. Michael Meffert
  12. Prof. Dr. Dieter Roth
  13. Prof. Dr. Peter Schrott
  14. Dr. Markus Steinbrecher
  15. Prof. Dr. Andreas Wüst

as well as two experts who preferred to remain anonymous.

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