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First expert survey for German federal election: Greens six point behind CDU/CSU


PollyVote has completed the first round of its monthly expert survey for this year’s German federal election. The experts expect the CDU/CSU to be the strongest party with 28.7%, nearly 6 points ahead of the Greens, which the experts see at 23.0%. The SPD is expected to gain 16.7%, followed by the AfD (9.8%), the FDP (9.3%), and the Left Party (7.8%). The predicted vote share for all other parties combined is 4.7 points.

Once a month, the experts forecast the vote shares of the respective parties in the federal election on September 26. A total of 19 experts participated in the first round of the survey, which was conducted from April 27-30. The PollyVote team would like to thank:

  1. Prof. Dr. Kai Arzheimer
  2. Prof. Dr. Joachim Behnke
  3. Dr. Evelyn Bytzek
  4. Prof. Dr. Marc Debus
  5. Prof. Dr. Martin Elff
  6. Prof. Dr. Simon Tobias Franzmann
  7. Dr. Heiko Giebler
  8. Prof. Dr. Achim Goerres
  9. Dr. Alexander Jedinger
  10. Prof. Dr. Max Kaase
  11. Dr. Michael Meffert
  12. Prof. Dr. Dieter Roth
  13. Prof. Dr. Peter Schrott
  14. Dr. Markus Steinbrecher
  15. Prof. Dr. Andreas Wüst
  16. Prof. Dr. Thomas Zittel

as well as three experts who preferred to remain anonymous.

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