With the support of the APSA Political Forecasting Group, Bruno Jérôme and I are putting together a symposium of papers on “Forecasting the 2021 German Elections”, which will be published in PS: Political Science & Politics. We are interested in a diversity of approaches to forecasting (e.g., poll aggregation, betting markets, structural models, or combinations thereof), including ways to communicate the uncertainty of forecasts. The symposium will have space for updates of models that have been used historically to predict German elections, but we also encourage submissions that lay out new and innovative ways to generate and communicate election forecasts and their underlying uncertainty. We also are keen to include voices that might be critical of election forecasting.
We are seeking short papers of 3,000 words maximum, and particularly welcome submissions from diverse teams of scholars and members of underrepresented groups as well as junior scholars. Membership in the APSA Political Forecasting Group is by no means a requirement. Abstracts should be submitted by 31 March 2021 to the guest editors Bruno Jérôme (firstname.lastname@example.org) and Andreas Graefe (email@example.com), who will evaluate those abstracts and will make a pre-selection of papers for possible inclusion in the Symposium proposal. If your proposal is accepted, submissions of full papers are due some time in May (exact date still to be determined), and final decisions about the acceptance of papers will be made after the review process. To ensure a timely publication of the Symposium, authors have to commit to responding to reviews in one-week time. For questions regarding the Symposium proposal, contact Bruno and myself.