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Wisconsin: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 52.6% for Clinton, and 47.4% for Trump in Wisconsin. In comparison, on November 5 Trump was predicted to collect 47.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, since they can contain substantial errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 53.7% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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