West Virginia: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 33.3% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, while Trump will end up with 66.7%.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, since they can include large biases. Rather than trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 62.7% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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