West Virginia: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead
The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 33.5% for Clinton, and 66.5% for Trump in West Virginia.
Putting the results in context
Single models may contain substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 62.8% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 3.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.