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West Virginia: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a major vote share of 33.6% for Clinton, and 66.4% for Trump in West Virginia.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, one should use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 62.7% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 3.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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