Washington, D.C.: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead
The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 86.6% for Clinton, and 13.4% for Trump in Washington, D.C..
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they may incorporate substantial errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 4.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..