Washington, D.C.: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead
By The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 86.6% for Clinton, and 13.4% for Trump in Washington, D.C..
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they may incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
Looking at an average of Washington, D.C. Econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 0.0%. This value is 86.6 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Jerome model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 91.4% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 33.9 percentage points higher.
