DeSart & Holbrook model in Vermont: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 69.6% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will win 30.5%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, you should rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 67.4% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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