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Vermont: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead


The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 69.6% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will win 30.5%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may include large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Vermont has Clinton at 0.0% of the two-party vote. This value is 69.6 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the DeSart & Holbrook model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 67.5% of the two-party vote in Vermont. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 2.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Vermont. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 16.9 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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