The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 69.6% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will win 30.5%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may include large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models in Vermont has Clinton at 0.0% of the two-party vote. This value is 69.6 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the DeSart & Holbrook model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 67.5% of the two-party vote in Vermont. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 2.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Vermont. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 16.9 percentage points higher.