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Vermont: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 70.8% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, whereas Trump will win 29.2%.

Putting the results in context

Single models may include substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Vermont sees Clinton at 0.0% of the two-party vote. This value is 70.8 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Crosstab model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 67.5% of the two-party vote in Vermont. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 3.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Vermont. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 18.1 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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