Crosstab model in Utah: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 39.2% for Clinton, and 60.8% for Trump in Utah. In comparison, on November 6 Trump was still predicted to collect 61.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they often include substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 59.0% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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