Texas: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 45.1% for Clinton, and 54.9% for Trump in Texas. In comparison, on November 5 Trump was still predicted to achieve 55.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they can include substantial biases. Rather than relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in Texas. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Texas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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