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South Carolina: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 46.8% of the two-party vote share in South Carolina, while Trump will win 53.2%. In comparison, on November 3 Trump was predicted to win 52.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often contain large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of South Carolina econometric models, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 0.0%. Relative to his numbers in the Crosstab model Trump's econometric model average is 53.2 percentage points lower.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 54.2% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.0 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 5.9 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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