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Rhode Island: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 59.0% for Clinton, and 41.1% for Trump in Rhode Island. In comparison, on November 5 Trump was still predicted to gain 41.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 61.6% of the two-party vote in Rhode Island. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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