The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 59.0% for Clinton, and 41.1% for Trump in Rhode Island. In comparison, on November 5 Trump was still predicted to gain 41.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 61.6% of the two-party vote in Rhode Island. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.