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Rhode Island: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 58.4% for Clinton, and 41.6% for Trump in Rhode Island. In comparison, on November 3 Trump was predicted to win 41.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Rhode Island econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 0.0%. Relative to her numbers in the Crosstab model Clinton's econometric model average is 58.4 percentage points lower.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 61.6% of the two-party vote in Rhode Island. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 5.7 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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