Pennsylvania: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 52.8% for Clinton, and 47.2% for Trump in Pennsylvania.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, as they can contain substantial biases. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

If we look at an average of Pennsylvania econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 0.0%. In comparison to her numbers in the Crosstab model Clinton's econometric model average is 52.8 percentage points lower.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 53.8% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.0 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 0.1 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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