Oklahoma: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 35.7% for Clinton, and 64.3% for Trump in Oklahoma.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be interpreted with caution, because they often include large biases. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 64.0% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Oklahoma.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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