Oklahoma: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 34.4% for Clinton, and 65.6% for Trump in Oklahoma. In comparison, on November 5 Trump was predicted to win 65.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 64.3% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Oklahoma.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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