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Ohio: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 49.1% of the two-party vote share in Ohio, whereas Trump will end up with 50.9%.

Ohio is traditionally a swing state, where Democrats and Republicans have often achieved similar voter support. Hence, the election outcome in that state is considered critical in determining the overall result of the presidential election.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they can incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, you should look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 49.4% of the two-party vote in Ohio. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 1.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Ohio.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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