North Carolina: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead
The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 50.6% for Clinton, and 49.4% for Trump in North Carolina.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 50.3% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.