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North Carolina: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 50.6% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, while Trump will win 49.4%. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to gain only 50.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, because they often contain substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, one should use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 50.3% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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