The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 50.6% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, while Trump will win 49.4%. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to gain only 50.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, because they often contain substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, one should use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 50.3% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.